Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.