Plaza Colonia
0 - 1
Progreso

Dibble (62'), Umeres (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ruiz Diaz (19' og.)
Ferreira (21'), (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Progreso in this match.

Result
Plaza Colonia	Draw	Progreso
27.05%	27.19%	45.76%

Both teams to score 47.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.35%

57.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.59%

78.41%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.98%

37.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2%

73.8%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85%

25.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13%

59.87%

Score Analysis

Plaza Colonia 27.05%

Progreso 45.76%

Draw 27.19%

Plaza Colonia	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.05%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 12.85% 0-2 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-3 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.41% 1-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.76%