SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rampla Juniors win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rampla Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Liverpool |
36.8% ( 0.23) | 26.88% ( -0.05) | 36.31% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.1% ( 0.2) | 53.9% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.65% ( 0.17) | 75.35% ( -0.17) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( 0.23) | 28.23% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% ( 0.3) | 63.93% ( -0.3) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( -0.02) | 28.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( -0.02) | 64.31% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.8% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.3% |
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