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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
38.65% ( 2.44) | 27.42% ( 0.33) | 33.93% ( -2.77) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.79% ( -1.47) | 56.21% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% ( -1.2) | 77.26% ( 1.21) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( 0.74) | 28.26% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( 0.92) | 63.98% ( -0.91) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -2.46) | 31.17% ( 2.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% ( -2.97) | 67.5% ( 2.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.66)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.46)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.5)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.93% |
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