SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rampla Juniors win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rampla Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
34.61% ( 0.01) | 27.12% ( 0) | 38.27% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.05% ( -0.01) | 54.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% ( -0.01) | 76.23% ( 0.01) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0) | 30.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( -0) | 66.24% |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.02) | 27.88% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( -0.02) | 63.5% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.34% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.26% |
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