Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sud America win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sud America win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sud America would win this match.