Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Sud America win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.