Maldonado
1 - 3
Sud America

Fernandez (88')
Aguirregaray (18'), Lima (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Andrade (15' pen.), Mouche (45+1' pen.), Camarda (56')
Mouche (18'), Gimenez (37'), Triunfo (68')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Sud America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sud America win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sud America win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sud America would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Sud America
27.65%	26.62%	45.72%

Both teams to score 49.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.74%

55.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52%

76.48%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77%

35.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02%

71.98%

Sud America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89%

24.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.59%

58.41%

Score Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado 27.65%

Sud America 45.72%

Draw 26.62%

Deportivo Maldonado	Draw	Sud America
1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.07% Total : 27.65%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 8.59% 1-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.72%