Sud America
2 - 4
Progreso

Olivera (64'), Camarda (65')
Cayetano (63'), Morales (83')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Alles (18', 52'), Morales (38'), Roldan (44')
Alles (25'), Gottesman (36'), Suarez (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Sud America and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Sud America win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
Sud America	Draw	Progreso
30.04%	28.72%	41.24%

Both teams to score 44.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.32%

61.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.5%

81.5%

Sud America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.17%

36.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.38%

73.61%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56%

29.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.57%

65.43%

Score Analysis

Sud America 30.03%

Progreso 41.23%

Draw 28.71%

Sud America	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 6.62% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.83% Total : 30.03%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.71%	0-1 @ 13.25% 0-2 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-3 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.01% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.5% Total : 41.23%