Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Sud America.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Sud America win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plaza Colonia in this match.