Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Villa Espanola win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.