Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Villa Espanola.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Villa Espanola win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
