Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.