Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerrito in this match.
