Villa Espanola
1 - 3
Penarol

Olivera (57')
Godoy (15'), Perez (16'), Aprile (34'), Tizon (75')
Machado (59')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ceppelini (24' pen.), Alvarez (32'), Canobbio (85')
Elizalde (13'), Gonzalez (44'), Gaitan (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Villa Espanola and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Villa Espanola win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Villa Espanola	Draw	Penarol
15.43%	21.55%	63.02%

Both teams to score 47.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.15%

48.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.05%

70.95%

Villa Espanola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.81%

44.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.72%

80.28%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.11%

14.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.75%

43.25%

Score Analysis

Villa Espanola 15.43%

Penarol 63.01%

Draw 21.55%

Villa Espanola	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 5.37% 2-1 @ 4.18% 2-0 @ 2.19% 3-1 @ 1.14% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.43%	1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.55%	0-1 @ 12.53% 0-2 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-3 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-5 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.2% 1-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.27% Total : 63.01%