Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Villa Espanola win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Villa Espanola | Draw | Penarol |
15.43% | 21.55% | 63.02% |
Both teams to score 47.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.15% | 48.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.05% | 70.95% |
Villa Espanola Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.81% | 44.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.72% | 80.28% |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.11% | 14.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.75% | 43.25% |
Score Analysis |
Villa Espanola | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 5.37% 2-1 @ 4.18% 2-0 @ 2.19% 3-1 @ 1.14% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.43% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 12.53% 0-2 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-3 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-5 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.2% 1-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.27% Total : 63.01% |
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