Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.