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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2021 at 12.45am UK
 

Villa Espanola
1 - 2
Nacional

Lopez (21')
Albin (39'), Riquero (48'), Santucho (57'), Mozzo (57'), Lopez (58')
Mozzo (57'), Riquero (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bergessio (44'), Fernandez (59' pen.)
Bergessio (48'), Zunino (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Villa Espanola and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Villa Espanola win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Villa EspanolaDrawNacional
19.2%23.42%57.39%
Both teams to score 49.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52%50.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59%72.41%
Villa Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.49%40.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.88%77.12%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64%17.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.24%47.76%
Score Analysis
    Villa Espanola 19.2%
    Nacional 57.38%
    Draw 23.41%
Villa EspanolaDrawNacional
1-0 @ 6.36%
2-1 @ 5.03%
2-0 @ 2.87%
3-1 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.2%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 12.31%
0-2 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-3 @ 6.29%
1-3 @ 5.69%
0-4 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 2.49%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 57.38%

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