Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
