Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
