Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
