Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerrito in this match.