Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.