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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Nov 22, 2020 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
F

Defensor
0 - 1
Fenix


Gonzalez (64'), Rabino (67'), Poggi (88'), Ocampo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Machado (39')
Rodriguez (23'), Alvez (36')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Fenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawFenix
42.15%26.37%31.48%
Both teams to score 51.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38%52.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73%74.27%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29%24.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.25%
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99%31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69%67.31%
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 42.14%
    Fenix 31.48%
    Draw 26.37%
Defensor SportingDrawFenix
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.14%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 8.97%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.48%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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