Nacional
3 - 1
Fenix

Bergessio (9', 19', 28')
Trezza (37'), Piriz (40'), Garcia (42'), Mendez (78')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Mendez (1' og.)
Pallas (51'), Argacha (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Fenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Fenix
48.81%	26.46%	24.73%

Both teams to score 47.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.51%

56.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.51%

77.49%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8%

23.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.9%

57.1%

Fenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.61%

38.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.85%

75.15%

Score Analysis

Nacional 48.81%

Fenix 24.73%

Draw 26.45%

Nacional	Draw	Fenix
1-0 @ 13.01% 2-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.81%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.56% Total : 24.73%