Plaza Colonia
1 - 2
Nacional

Dibble (34')
Cruz Mascia (44'), Risso (58'), Leonai (69'), Quintana (70'), Dibble (71')
Leonai (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Trezza (46'), Bergessio (73' pen.)
Corujo (45+1'), Garcia (83'), Bergessio (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Plaza Colonia	Draw	Nacional
34.85%	29.09%	36.06%

Both teams to score 44.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.85%

62.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.16%

81.84%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38%

33.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74%

70.26%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19%

32.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62%

69.38%

Score Analysis

Plaza Colonia 34.84%

Nacional 36.06%

Draw 29.08%

Plaza Colonia	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.84%	1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 12.29% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.06%