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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Feb 11, 2021 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Casto Martínez Laguarda

Torque
1 - 2
Nacional

Guerrero (69')
Rak (23'), Otormin (28'), Allende (62'), Pizzichillo (76'), Teuten (88'), Coccaro (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carballo (41'), Bergessio (43')
Orihuela (7'), Garcia (81')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawNacional
32.86%28.32%38.83%
Both teams to score 46.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.35%59.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.03%79.97%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33%33.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68%70.32%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17%29.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08%65.92%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 32.85%
    Nacional 38.82%
    Draw 28.31%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.04%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 12.14%
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.82%

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