Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.