Nacional
3 - 0
Wanderers

Bergessio (4', 53' pen., 71')
Vega (45'), Bergessio (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Torres (37'), Abero (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
52.33%	25.46%	22.21%

Both teams to score 47.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08%

54.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79%

76.2%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98%

21.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.2%

53.8%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.11%

39.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.45%

76.55%

Score Analysis

Nacional 52.31%

Montevideo Wanderers 22.21%

Draw 25.45%

Nacional	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.07% 2-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.31%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.54% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.21%