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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Mar 7, 2021 at 9.45pm UK
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
3 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Pereira (6'), Dorrego (31')
Lamardo (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Leonai (21'), (80'), (83')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Plaza Colonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawPlaza Colonia
41.7%27.78%30.52%
Both teams to score 47.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.7%58.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.07%78.92%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45%27.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93%63.06%
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36%34.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63%71.36%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 41.7%
    Plaza Colonia 30.51%
    Draw 27.78%
Cerro LargoDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.93%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.54%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-2 @ 5.36%
1-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 30.51%

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