Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plaza Colonia would win this match.
