Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plaza Colonia in this match.