Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (12.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rentistas in this match.