Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Druids had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Druids win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aberystwyth Town in this match.
