Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
