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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 

Haverfordwest
2 - 0
Aberystwyth

Wilson (17'), Williams (42')
Rees (42'), Wilson (52'), Scotcher (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jenkins (35'), Davies (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.

Result
Haverfordwest CountyDrawAberystwyth Town
47.96%23.12%28.92%
Both teams to score 61.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52%39.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18%61.82%
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25%16.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33%46.67%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89%26.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82%61.18%
Score Analysis
    Haverfordwest County 47.96%
    Aberystwyth Town 28.93%
    Draw 23.11%
Haverfordwest CountyDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.38%
1-0 @ 7.82%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-0 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 3.75%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 47.96%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-1 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.94%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.93%


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