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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Cyncoed Campus

Cardiff MU
3 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Roscrow (36'), Evans (55' pen.), Owen (64')
Lang (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wood (4'), Clutton (90')
Davies (52'), Clutton (70'), Reynolds (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Pen-y-Bont.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawPen-y-Bont
50.72%24.14%25.13%
Both teams to score 54.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98%47.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73%69.26%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44%18.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18%49.82%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13%32.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56%69.44%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 50.72%
    Pen-y-Bont 25.13%
    Draw 24.14%
Cardiff MUDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 5.4%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 50.72%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.13%

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