Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.