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Wednesday, April 24
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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 1
Barry

Davies (59'), Hughes (62')
Mills-Evans (42'), Walker (55'), Hughes (61'), Roberts (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cotterill (18')
Cotterill (30'), Patten (45+1'), Cummings (45+2'), McLaggon (77'), Green (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Barry Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 54.46%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawBarry Town United
54.46%21.81%23.73%
Both teams to score 61.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.21%37.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.96%60.04%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09%13.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.65%41.35%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98%29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08%64.92%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 54.47%
    Barry Town United 23.73%
    Draw 21.81%
Newtown AFCDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 6.39%
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 3.15%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 9.85%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 6.1%
0-1 @ 5%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 23.73%

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