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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 0
Flint Town

Williams (36' pen.), Walker (64')
Mills-Evans (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harrison (18'), Roberts (20'), Rushton (35'), Edwards (72')
Wilde (56')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Flint Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawFlint Town United
44.53%23.37%32.1%
Both teams to score 62.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61%39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.68%61.32%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11%17.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32%48.68%
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1%23.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89%58.11%
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 44.53%
    Flint Town United 32.1%
    Draw 23.37%
Newtown AFCDrawFlint Town United
2-1 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-1 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.1%

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