Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-0 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.