Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.