Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
