Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 12.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for The New Saints in this match.