Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
