Caernarfon
1 - 4
Haverfordwest

Edwards (25')
Kenny (39'), Thomas (68'), Edwards (70')
Tibbetts (7')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Wilson (29'), Fawcett (37', 56'), Griffiths (87')
Fawcett (35')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Haverfordwest County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
46.63%	24.68%	28.69%

Both teams to score 55.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.22%

46.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.96%

69.04%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86%

20.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59%

52.41%

Haverfordwest County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01%

29.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89%

66.11%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 46.63%

Haverfordwest County 28.69%

Draw 24.68%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Haverfordwest County
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.63%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.19% Total : 28.69%