SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 1-2 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
65.87% ( 2.19) | 18.99% ( -0.92) | 15.14% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.97% ( 1.79) | 38.04% ( -1.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.7% ( 1.89) | 60.3% ( -1.88) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.23% ( 1.1) | 10.77% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.23% ( 2.4) | 34.78% ( -2.39) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.08% ( -0.47) | 37.92% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.31% ( -0.46) | 74.69% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.37)3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.21)Other @ 4.5% Total : 65.87% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.36)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.99% | 1-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.06% Total : 15.14% |
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