SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 71.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
71.09% ( 0.07) | 17.82% ( -0.04) | 11.08% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( 0.09) | 42.56% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.03% ( 0.09) | 64.96% ( -0.09) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% ( 0.04) | 10.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.41% ( 0.09) | 34.59% ( -0.09) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.92% ( 0.01) | 47.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.45% ( 0) | 82.55% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 2-0 @ 12.58% 1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 71.09% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.82% | 0-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 11.08% |
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