SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Cardiff MU |
35.21% ( 0.15) | 26.57% ( 0.03) | 38.21% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( -0.12) | 52.68% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( -0.11) | 74.32% ( 0.1) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( 0.03) | 28.61% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( 0.04) | 64.41% ( -0.05) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( -0.16) | 26.84% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( -0.21) | 62.14% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.2% |
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