SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
28.57% ( 3.16) | 22.62% ( 2.69) | 48.81% ( -5.85) |
| Both teams to score 63.04% ( -7.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.65% ( -10.6) | 37.34% ( 10.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.44% ( -12.39) | 59.56% ( 12.38) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( -3.55) | 25.27% ( 3.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( -5.14) | 60.03% ( 5.13) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( -5.43) | 15.64% ( 5.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( -11.15) | 44.65% ( 11.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 1.04) 1-0 @ 5.44% ( 2.05)2-0 @ 3.74% ( 1.15)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.47)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.4)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.29)Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 2.35) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.29)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 1.73)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.78)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.54) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 2.27)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 1.03)1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.92)0-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.98% ( -1.14)1-4 @ 2.69% ( -1.14)0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.56)2-4 @ 1.85% ( -1.07)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.75)Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.81% |
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