SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
30.84% ( 0.14) | 26.01% ( -0.03) | 43.15% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.82% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% ( 0.17) | 51.36% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( 0.15) | 73.18% ( -0.15) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( 0.18) | 30.81% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.92% ( 0.21) | 67.08% ( -0.21) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( 0.02) | 23.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( 0.03) | 57.76% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.14% |
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