SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 88.03%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 3.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 0-4 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.07%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 1-0 (1.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | The New Saints |
3.42% ( 0.01) | 8.56% ( 0.07) | 88.03% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 39.99% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.31% ( -0.32) | 27.69% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.64% ( -0.4) | 48.36% ( 0.41) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.67% ( -0.21) | 58.33% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.23% ( -0.11) | 89.78% ( 0.11) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.97% ( -0.06) | 4.03% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.04% ( -0.2) | 16.97% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 1.06% Total : 3.42% | 1-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 8.56% | 0-3 @ 12.97% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 12.12% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 10.42% 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 6.69% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)1-6 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)0-7 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.99% Total : 88.02% |
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